The Royals Continued Rejection of Sabermetric Analysis
26th in pitches seen (5933, 934 fewer than the major league leading Oakland A’s)
last in swinging strikes (6.8%, league median is 9.5%).
These may seem like good things because they have led to a major league fewest K% of 14.6, but they also represent exceedingly poor contact. The approach at the plate is leading them to swing far more than they should.46.6%. If they were seeing 50% strikes this might be an acceptable rate. They are seeing a below average 46.2% pitches inside the strike zone.
Let’s contrast that with some other teams:
A’s 43.8 swing rate 46.6 strike zone rate
The A’s who have seen 934 more pitches get to also see a lot more middle relievers. This is a team’s soft underbelly. The Royals are not just seeing an inordinate number of pitches in the zone. They swing too often and make weak contact.
Our Royals are 22nd in the majors with a .287 BABIP. League median is .293.
The Royals are 2nd in GB%. Only the Padres hit more ground balls among balls in play.
I am impressed that they have won as many games as they have. It is a testament to the pitching staff and the phenomenal defense.
I realize that these number should improve and tonight it looks like they are somewhat. But remember we just had a two home run game from Gordon and the numbers are looking like this.
We had better hope that Danny Duffy has indeed turned the corner.